ING forecasts major improvement in Kazakhstan’s current account deficit in 2026
Amid global energy price assumptions, ING has adjusted its CIS-4 outlook (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan). trend.az »
Forecasts - Ïîñëåäíèå íîâîñòè [ Íîâîñòè ñ ôîòî ] | |
Amid global energy price assumptions, ING has adjusted its CIS-4 outlook (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan). trend.az »
Uzbekistan is expected to remain resilient under a potential decline in global gold prices, supported by its ability to adjust export volumes and sustain export revenues, according to ING analysts. trend.az »
Tajikistan’s macroeconomic outlook points to a controlled inflation environment alongside gradually moderating growth, indicating a transition from rapid expansion to more sustainable economic dynamics. trend.az »
ADB expects inflation in Uzbekistan to decline gradually through 2027 amid tight monetary policy, though some price pressures may persist. trend.az »
ADB projects steady growth for Uzbekistan through 2027, supported by strong domestic demand, services, and ongoing economic reforms. trend.az »
Global oil production is set to fall 1.3 million barrels per day in 2026 but is projected to rebound in 2027, the EIA reports. trend.az »
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) has released its forecast for oil and other liquid hydrocarbon production in the Middle East. trend.az »
Tajikistan is expected to maintain a supportive monetary policy stance in 2026, as stable inflation allows room for further easing, according to the Eurasian Development Bank. trend.az »
ING expects Uzbekistan’s policy rate to ease gradually as inflation moves toward 5% trend.az »
Global oil output is anticipated to surge this year if OPEC+ members stick to their present production agreement. trend.az »
Worldwide crude oil production is anticipated to reach 80.79 million barrels per day in 2027, according to the agency's prediction. The first quarter of 2027 is projected to hit 80.69 million barrels per day. trend.az »
Global oil and liquid hydrocarbon production is expected to grow modestly in 2026, with a more modest increase compared to earlier projections. Quarterly forecasts show gradual increases, with a more significant boost expected in 2027. trend.az »
In January 2026, Azerbaijan’s state and consolidated budget revenues exceeded expectations. The budget execution showed positive results, with a high volume of payment orders processed. Several key revenue areas outperformed forecasts, demonstrating strong financial performance. trend.az »
Uzbekistan’s insurance sector is expected to benefit from easing inflation, high interest rates, and regulatory support, according to new assessments by Moody’s Ratings. trend.az »
The IEA's forecast for 2026 suggests stable production throughout the year. trend.az »
Tajikistan is strengthening its domestic debt market and diversifying investors to support fiscal stability and long-term economic growth, IMF and analysts note. trend.az »
Analysts have revised Kazakhstan's GDP growth forecast for 2026, reducing it from 4.9% to 4.8%. trend.az »
UN DESA forecasts moderate growth for Iran’s economy, projecting GDP to rise gradually in 2026 and 2027. trend.az »
The report notes that escalating trade tensions with the United States raised concerns over external pressures in early 2025. trend.az »
The United Nations expects consumer price growth in Turkmenistan to rise in the near term before moderating in the following year, according to its latest economic outlook. trend.az »
Dutch banking group ING believes that China’s monetary policy will keep its cards close to the chest over the medium term, with the benchmark seven-day reverse repo rate likely to take a small dip in 2026 before finding its footing through 2027. trend.az »
Dutch banking group ING expects short-term market interest rates in China to continue edging lower over the coming years, with the three-month rate projected to decline gradually before stabilizing in 2027. trend.az »
Analysts at The Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) forecast that Kazakhstan’s average annual GDP growth will slow to 3.8% between 2026 and 2030. trend.az »
Azerbaijan’s budget revenues have outperformed forecasts in the first eleven months of 2025, with consolidated revenues reaching nearly 44 billion manat and state budget revenues totaling about 36 billion manat. trend.az »
ING Group projects that Uzbekistan’s central bank could cut its key policy rate to around 12% by the end of 2026, as easing inflation and stronger fiscal discipline pave the way for a more accommodative monetary policy. trend.az »
Uzbekistan’s banking sector is stepping into 2026 with credit risks on the rise, as Fitch Ratings sounds the alarm that impaired loans are set to climb, even with lending growth holding steady. trend.az »
S&P Global Ratings projects that Uzbekistan’s Fergana Region will sustain a balanced budget through 2027, following a 2024 surplus and despite potential revenue volatility from central government policy changes. trend.az »
S&P Global Ratings sees Uzbekistan on the upswing, with medium-term growth looking as bright as a button, fueled by strong demand, a surge in investments, and solid economic momentum heading into 2025. trend.az »
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) expects Kazakhstan's real GDP growth to reach just above 6 percent in 2025. trend.az »
Kazakhstan's local government revenues and expenditures are projected to rise significantly through 2028 trend.az »
Global natural gas demand is set to continue growing over the next decade, driven almost entirely by emerging and developing economies, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in its latest outlook. trend.az »
Retail gasoline and diesel prices in the United States are expected to decline in 2026 as lower crude oil prices reduce costs at the pump, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said in its latest outlook. trend.az »
Global liquid fuels consumption is forecast to rise in 2025 and 2026, driven almost entirely by non-OECD countries, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said in its latest outlook. trend.az »
Global oil inventories are expected to increase in 2026, up from 1.8 million b/d in 2025, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said in its latest outlook. trend.az »
Global oil demand is forecast to increase by 1.38 million barrels per day (mb/d) in 2026, OPEC says. trend.az »
The international online platform Trading Economics has published its forecast for Azerbaijan's gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the coming years. trend.az »
Global liquefied natural gas (LNG) supply is set for a major expansion by 2030, according to the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) latest outlook. trend.az »
Iran has solidified its position as the Middle East’s largest natural gas producer, with output rising by 30% between 2018 and 2024, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). trend.az »
Azerbaijan projects household incomes to grow around 3% in 2026, with spending expected to rise at a similar pace. trend.az »
Tajikistan’s current account balance is expected to remain in surplus this year, supported by robust economic growth, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said in its latest regional outlook. trend.az »
Global oil demand is projected to increase by around 1.3 million barrels per day (mb/d) in 2025, according to OPEC’s latest assessment. trend.az »
Liquids production in OECD countries, excluding Mexico, is projected to increase in 2025, according to OPEC’s latest outlook. trend.az »
Total U.S. electricity generation across all sectors is expected to exceed 4,400 billion kilowatt-hours (BkWh) in 2025, according to the latest outlook from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). trend.az »
The bank has adjusted its inflation forecasts, attributing the revisions to persistent upward pressures stemming from escalating utility expenses and volatile currency dynamics. trend.az »
Non-OPEC+ oil production fell slightly by 70,000 barrels per day (b/d) in August to 55.4 million b/d, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). trend.az »
Russia’s oil production is projected to reach 10.65 million barrels per day (mb/d) in 2026, according to the latest forecast from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). trend.az »
Global oil consumption is expected to keep rising through 2026, with nearly all demand growth coming from emerging economies, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). trend.az »
Global oil inventories are set to increase sharply through 2025 and 2026, putting sustained downward pressure on crude prices, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said in its latest outlook. trend.az »
Global crude processing rebounded sharply in June, reaching a record 84.9 million barrels per day (mb/d) as seasonal maintenance slowed, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said. trend.az »
Kyrgyzstan is forecast to maintain moderate economic growth through 2027, with GDP rising by 5.6 percent in 2026 and 5.4 percent in 2027. Inflation is projected to gradually decline but remain near the upper end of the central bank’s target. trend.az »